Vol. 3, No. 6 — June 2026Independent since 2024

TheCompound Journal

Reporting on incretins, compounding & the peptide supply chain

A monthly journal of record.
30 issues · 32 contributors
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Schedules

The steps get smaller as the ladder gets higher, and that is deliberate

What the published pharmacokinetics permit, what the labels state, and where the two diverge.

The interval between escalation steps in this class is almost always four weeks, and the reason is arithmetic rather than clinical. A drug eliminated with a seven-day half-life reaches about ninety-four per cent of its steady-state concentration after four half-lives and about ninety-seven per cent after five. Four weeks is therefore approximately the period after which a given dose has stopped becoming stronger on its own. Escalate before that and the person absorbs two increases at once: the one written on the pen and the one still arriving from the previous rung.

The semaglutide ladder, rung by rung

For weight management, the approved escalation runs 0.25 mg weekly for four weeks, then 0.5 mg, then 1.0 mg, then 1.7 mg, reaching 2.4 mg at week seventeen. For glycaemic indications the ladder is shorter and the maximum lower: 0.25 mg, then 0.5 mg, then 1.0 mg, with a 2.0 mg option added later on the strength of a dedicated dose-comparison study.

Two features are worth noticing. The starting dose is explicitly sub-therapeutic — 0.25 mg is a tolerability rung, not a treatment dose, and describing it as a low dose rather than an initiation dose causes real confusion. And the ratios narrow as the ladder rises: two doublings, then a 1.7-fold step, then a 1.41-fold step.

The 2.4 mg dose was selected on the basis of the phase 2 dose-ranging programme and carried into the STEP trials, where it produced a mean weight reduction of about fifteen per cent at sixty-eight weeks against roughly two and a half per cent on placebo.1 That is the number the ladder exists to reach, and the ladder itself was never the subject of the trial.

The tirzepatide ladder is a different shape

Tirzepatide begins at 2.5 mg weekly for four weeks, moves to 5 mg, and thereafter increases in 2.5 mg increments at intervals of not less than four weeks, to a maximum of 15 mg. The structural difference from semaglutide is important: after the first doubling the increments are fixed in absolute terms, which means the ratio falls steadily — 1.5-fold, then 1.33, then 1.25, then 1.20.

The practical consequence is that the upper half of the tirzepatide ladder is unusually gentle in proportional terms, and the first step from 2.5 mg to 5 mg is by some distance the most demanding thing the schedule asks. Clinicians we spoke to described the 2.5-to-5 transition as the point at which most early attrition occurs, which is what the ratios predict.

The label also states, in language that repays attention, that 5 mg is a therapeutic dose in its own right and that escalation beyond it should reflect response and tolerability. That is a materially different instruction from a ladder with a fixed destination, and it is closer to how the drug is actually used.2

Four weeks is the point at which a dose has finished getting stronger on its own. That is a kinetic fact, not a clinical result.

On the escalation interval

Why four weeks, precisely

The elimination rate constant of a drug is 0.693 divided by its half-life. Fractional approach to steady state after time t is 1 minus e to the power of minus k times t. For a seven-day half-life this yields about seventy-five per cent of steady state at two weeks, eighty-eight per cent at three, ninety-four per cent at four and ninety-seven per cent at five.

Four weeks is therefore the point at which a once-weekly dose has essentially finished getting stronger. Escalate at two weeks and the person receives the increment written on the pen plus roughly a further quarter of the previous rung still accumulating underneath it. That is not dangerous in any dramatic sense, but it does mean the symptom burden attributed to the new dose is partly the tail of the old one, and it makes the escalation harder to interpret.

For tirzepatide, with a half-life closer to five days, four weeks corresponds to more than five half-lives and the previous rung is fully settled. The same interval is therefore slightly conservative for one molecule and exactly adequate for the other, which is a small illustration of how a shared convention can be right for different reasons.3

Withdrawal-design trials: continuation against cessation
TrialLead-inRandomised periodContinuedWithdrawn
STEP 420 weeks to 2.4 mg48 weeks−7.9% further+6.9% regain
SURMOUNT-436 weeks open-label52 weeks−5.5% further+14.0% regain
Both designs compared the achieved dose against placebo. Neither examined a reduced maintenance dose, which is the comparison most readers ask about.

Accelerated and decelerated schedules

The evidence on deviating from four-week steps is observational and one-sided. Slower escalation — five, six or eight weeks per rung — is reported by clinicians to reduce early discontinuation, is consistent with the tachyphylaxis data, and has never been randomised against the standard interval in a trial of adequate size. Faster escalation has no supporting rationale we can identify and a clear kinetic argument against it.

What can be said with confidence is that the cost of going slower is bounded and calculable: a longer time to target exposure, and therefore a later arrival at the efficacy plateau. Because the plateau itself sits at sixty weeks or beyond, adding four or eight weeks to the escalation phase is a small fraction of the treatment course. The cost of going faster is a higher probability of discontinuation, and discontinuation costs the entire effect.

That asymmetry is the strongest thing the Journal is willing to say on the subject. It is an argument from consequence rather than from trial data, and we flag it as such rather than dressing it as a finding.4

The shape of the curve, stated numerically

Across the programmes the exposure-response relationship for weight is approximately log-linear over the lower and middle range and flattens above it, while the relationship for gastrointestinal adverse events is closer to linear in dose and does not flatten in the same range. That divergence is the ceiling.

In glycaemic endpoints the flattening is even more pronounced. HbA1c reduction in the tirzepatide diabetes programme differed by roughly a quarter of a percentage point between the 5 mg and 15 mg arms in the head-to-head against semaglutide, which is a small difference against a threefold dose range.5 For a person whose objective is glycaemic control rather than weight, the argument for the upper rungs is correspondingly weaker.

The general point is that the class has two dose-response curves running in parallel and only one of them flattens. Any discussion of escalation that quotes the efficacy curve without the tolerability curve is quoting half a graph, which is how the top of the ladder came to be treated as an obvious destination.

What follows this file in the department is the other half of the same problem: not how to raise the dose, but what to do about the symptoms that decide whether raising it is possible at all. Titration and tolerability are one subject examined from two ends, and the second end is where most people actually live.

References

  1. Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Calanna S, et al. “Once-Weekly Semaglutide in Adults with Overweight or Obesity.” New England Journal of Medicine. 2021;384(11):989–1002.
  2. Jastreboff AM, Aronne LJ, Ahmad NN, et al. “Tirzepatide Once Weekly for the Treatment of Obesity.” New England Journal of Medicine. 2022;387(3):205–216.
  3. Overgaard RV, Petri KCC, Jacobsen LV, Jensen CB. “Clinical Pharmacokinetics of Oral Semaglutide.” Clinical Pharmacokinetics. 2019;58(6):781–791.
  4. Bettge K, Kahle M, Abd El Aziz MS, Meier JJ, Nauck MA. “Occurrence of nausea, vomiting and diarrhoea reported as adverse events in clinical trials studying glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: a systematic analysis of published clinical trials.” Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism. 2017;19(3):336–347.
  5. Frías JP, Davies MJ, Rosenstock J, et al. “Tirzepatide versus Semaglutide Once Weekly in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.” New England Journal of Medicine. 2021;385(6):503–515.

Letters to the Editor

5 printed

Selected from correspondence received on this article. Writers are identified by initial, surname and city, verified before printing. Replies are from the desk that filed the piece or from the standards editor. Write to letters@compoundjournal.com.

You describe the plateau as an energy-balance event and dismiss receptor desensitisation. Is there not a third possibility — that adherence quietly falls off at around a year and the plateau is partly a behavioural artefact of the trial rather than a physiological one?

L. Dziedzic, Wrocław

The Journal replies

There is, and it is a better objection than the desensitisation argument. Adherence does decline over the second year of the long programmes, and the treatment-policy analyses absorb that decline into the mean. We should have said that the plateau is very likely a composite of energy balance and falling adherence, in proportions the published analyses do not separate cleanly.

The claim that nobody has randomised escalation intervals is too strong. There are protocol amendments in several programmes that effectively created slower-titration cohorts, and some of those have been analysed post hoc.

E. Beauchamp, Ottawa, ON

The Journal replies

Post-hoc comparison of cohorts created by amendment is not randomisation, and treating it as such is exactly the elision we were objecting to. We accept that such analyses exist and are informative; we maintain that they cannot settle the question, and the file now says so in those terms.

Your residual-exposure table gives six per cent after four weeks. I calculate 6.25 per cent, which is a quibble, but the larger point is that it assumes steady state at the moment of interruption. Someone who stops three weeks into a new rung has less on board than your table implies.

H. Ravensworth, York

The Journal replies

Correct on both counts, and the table now carries the steady-state assumption explicitly. Your second point is the more useful one: interrupting mid-escalation clears faster than interrupting from a settled dose, and the practical reading of the table should be adjusted accordingly.

As a prescribing pharmacist I would add one thing about re-titration. The commonest problem I see is not the resumption dose. It is that the patient has a pen left over at the old strength and uses it because it is in the fridge and it cost money. The clinical decision and the economic decision are not the same decision.

E. Marchetti, Bologna

The Journal replies

Well put, and we had not written it down. The cost of discarding partially used material is a real input into dosing behaviour in a market where much of the spend is out of pocket, and it deserves treatment in The Ledger rather than a sentence here.

Thank you for saying plainly that the maximum dose is not the goal. I stopped at 10 mg fourteen months ago because it was working and I was tired of arguing about it. Every article I read before yours implied I had given up early.

R. Devaney, Ballarat, VIC

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