The substudies, read properly: who was scanned, when, and with what
Both the reassuring reading and the alarming reading are supportable from the same tables. This piece sets out which is which.
TheCompound Journal
Reporting on incretins, compounding & the peptide supply chain
Titration
Nausea and gastric delay attenuate over weeks at an unchanged dose. That single physiological fact is the entire justification for holding.
Read the protocols rather than the labels and a consistent provision appears: escalation may be delayed if the participant is not tolerating the current dose. STEP, SURMOUNT and SURPASS all contained versions of it, and the trial results everybody quotes were produced by populations exercising it. The efficacy figures in circulation are therefore not the product of a rigid ladder. They are the product of a flexible one, applied by trial staff with weekly contact and a strong incentive to keep participants enrolled. The label reports the ladder and drops the flexibility, which inverts the emphasis of the evidence.
The pivotal protocols in this class permitted escalation to be delayed. In the semaglutide obesity programme, participants unable to tolerate a dose increase could remain at the previous dose and attempt escalation later; the tirzepatide programme contained comparable provisions, with defined windows and a limit on how long a participant could remain below target before being counted as not having reached it.
This matters for how the efficacy figures should be read. The mean weight reductions quoted from STEP and SURMOUNT were produced by populations in which a meaningful minority spent time below their assigned target dose. The trials therefore already contain the effect of flexible titration, and the flexible approach is not a departure from the evidence but part of how the evidence was generated.
What the labels carry forward is the ladder. What they largely omit is the permission. A prescriber who reads only the label sees a fixed calendar; a prescriber who reads the trial documentation sees a calendar with a documented escape valve. The Journal has raised this with two regulatory affairs specialists, both of whom regarded it as a known and unglamorous gap in how trial conduct is translated into prescribing information.1
The evidence on deviating from four-week steps is observational and one-sided. Slower escalation — five, six or eight weeks per rung — is reported by clinicians to reduce early discontinuation, is consistent with the tachyphylaxis data, and has never been randomised against the standard interval in a trial of adequate size. Faster escalation has no supporting rationale we can identify and a clear kinetic argument against it.
What can be said with confidence is that the cost of going slower is bounded and calculable: a longer time to target exposure, and therefore a later arrival at the efficacy plateau. Because the plateau itself sits at sixty weeks or beyond, adding four or eight weeks to the escalation phase is a small fraction of the treatment course. The cost of going faster is a higher probability of discontinuation, and discontinuation costs the entire effect.
That asymmetry is the strongest thing the Journal is willing to say on the subject. It is an argument from consequence rather than from trial data, and we flag it as such rather than dressing it as a finding.2
The arithmetic of a step is only as good as the number it starts from, and in this market that number is often unmeasured.
On research-grade material and dose certaintyHolding works because two of the three things a person notices attenuate on their own. Gastric emptying delay, measured by scintigraphy and by breath test, is largest early in exposure at a given dose and diminishes over subsequent weeks while the drug is continued unchanged. Nausea incidence in the trials follows a comparable trajectory: it peaks in the weeks following each escalation and declines toward a lower background.
The third thing — reduced appetite and early satiety — attenuates considerably less, which is the whole reason holding is worth doing rather than simply reducing. A held dose loses much of its unwanted effect and keeps most of its wanted one.
The magnitude of this adaptation is not enormous and it is not universal. Some proportion of people find that symptoms at a given dose do not settle at all over eight or twelve weeks, and for them the dose is simply above their ceiling. Distinguishing a slow adapter from a person at their limit cannot be done in advance, which means holding is also a diagnostic manoeuvre: it converts an unanswerable question about tolerance into an answerable question about time.3
| Product / indication | Start | Step interval | Rungs | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semaglutide, weight management | 0.25 mg weekly | 4 weeks | 0.25 / 0.5 / 1.0 / 1.7 / 2.4 | 2.4 mg weekly |
| Semaglutide, type 2 diabetes | 0.25 mg weekly | 4 weeks | 0.25 / 0.5 / 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 mg weekly |
| Tirzepatide | 2.5 mg weekly | at least 4 weeks | 2.5 / 5 / 7.5 / 10 / 12.5 / 15 | 15 mg weekly |
| Liraglutide, weight management | 0.6 mg daily | 1 week | 0.6 / 1.2 / 1.8 / 2.4 / 3.0 | 3.0 mg daily |
| Dulaglutide | 0.75 mg weekly | 4 weeks | 0.75 / 1.5 / 3.0 / 4.5 | 4.5 mg weekly |
| Summarised from product labelling. Schedules differ between jurisdictions in detail; the shape is consistent. Reproduced as a description of what the labels say, not as a recommendation. | ||||
The practice that has emerged across this class, without ever being formally codified, runs roughly as follows. Start at the initiation dose. Escalate when the current dose is comfortable enough that a person is eating normally, keeping fluids down, and not organising their week around symptoms. Do not escalate in the week of a symptom flare. If a rung is intolerable, step back to the previous one and try again later. If a rung is producing an adequate result, consider stopping there.
Every clinician we spoke to described something within a small variation of that, and none of them could point to a trial of it. It is a reasonable synthesis of the pharmacokinetics, the tachyphylaxis data and a great deal of accumulated observation.
The Journal has a specific position on this. The absence of randomised support for tolerability-led escalation is a real gap and should be closed, but its absence is not a reason to prefer the printed calendar, which has no randomised support either. Between two unrandomised schedules, the one that responds to information about the individual is the better bet. We say that as an editorial judgement rather than as a report of evidence.
Dose reduction in this class carries a stigma that the pharmacology does not justify. Because the ceiling is set by tolerability and tolerability varies severalfold between people, the only way to find an individual ceiling is to move until it is reached and then move back. A reduction is the second half of that measurement.
There is a practical detail worth stating. Reduction takes effect on the same kinetics as escalation, which means the relief is not immediate: a person dropping from 15 mg to 10 mg is still carrying substantial exposure from the higher dose for a fortnight, and concluding after five days that the reduction has not helped is premature.
There is also an arithmetic trap for vial users. Halving a dose halves exposure at steady state, but the transition takes three to four weeks, and during that transition the person is at neither dose. Anybody adjusting downward to escape a symptom should expect the answer to arrive on a three-week timescale, not a three-day one.
If there is a single practical conclusion here it is that the ladder is a default and the person is the variable. The trials that produced the figures everyone quotes were run on populations permitted to hold, delay and step back, and reading their results as an endorsement of a rigid calendar inverts what actually happened. We will keep making that point until the labels catch up with the protocols.
Selected from correspondence received on this article. Writers are identified by initial, surname and city, verified before printing. Replies are from the desk that filed the piece or from the standards editor. Write to letters@compoundjournal.com.
Thank you for saying plainly that the maximum dose is not the goal. I stopped at 10 mg fourteen months ago because it was working and I was tired of arguing about it. Every article I read before yours implied I had given up early.
— L. Dziedzic, Wrocław
I want to object to the framing of dose reduction as measurement. In practice it is experienced as failure, and telling people it is a thermostat does not change how the appointment feels. The language problem is real and you have solved it rhetorically rather than actually.
— E. Beauchamp, Ottawa, ON
A fair hit. We can describe the pharmacology accurately and still be writing at a distance from how the decision lands, and the paragraph you object to does both. The reframing is offered as a corrective to a stigma, not as a claim that the stigma is imaginary.
You keep insisting on peptide content rather than purity when discussing dose certainty. I have looked at a dozen certificates from four different testing services and content is reported on perhaps a third of them. What are readers supposed to do with an absence?
— H. Ravensworth, York
Treat the nominal figure as an upper bound and say so out loud when reasoning about a dose. It is an unsatisfying answer and it is the honest one. We have argued in Analytics that content should be a standard reported field, and we will keep naming the services that report it and those that do not.
Your piece treats the four-week step as arithmetic, and I accept the arithmetic, but my prescriber moved me up every two weeks and I reached the top dose without difficulty. I do not think the schedule is as constraining as you suggest.
— E. Marchetti, Bologna
Nor do we, and the file should have been clearer. The four-week interval is a floor below which the previous rung is still accumulating, not a threshold below which escalation is unsafe. Plenty of people tolerate faster ascent. Our objection is to the inverse inference — that because you did, everybody should — and to the absence of a trial that would let anyone say which is which in advance.
A small thing. You give the semaglutide diabetes ladder as ending at 2.0 mg and the weight ladder at 2.4 mg, without explaining why the same molecule has two ceilings for two indications. It looks arbitrary and I suspect it is not.
— R. Devaney, Ballarat, VIC
It is not arbitrary — the two maxima come from separate dose-selection programmes with different primary endpoints, and 2.0 mg was established against 1.0 mg in a dedicated glycaemic comparison. We have added a clause. The underlying point, that indication shapes the ladder as much as the molecule does, is worth more space than we gave it.
Both the reassuring reading and the alarming reading are supportable from the same tables. This piece sets out which is which.
Almost every figure in circulation about tolerability comes from six publications. This is what they say.
The clinical effect profile is almost fully predictable from where the receptor is expressed, which is unusual and useful.
What the regulatory dossiers actually contain on dose selection is remarkably thin, and worth knowing before treating the ladder as settled science.
What the pharmacokinetic data supports about dose timing, missed doses and interruption.
Concentrations fall by half a week, so a month away leaves a small fraction of steady state. Resuming at the previous dose presents the receptor with a step it has not seen…