Independent analysis puts a BCH orforglipron lot at 97.2%, against 93.1% on the certificate
The Journal submitted the sample and paid for the analysis. The vendor was told in advance.
TheCompound Journal
Reporting on incretins, compounding & the peptide supply chain
Incentives
The condition on arrival is recorded by some services and not others, and it is one of the more informative lines in a report.
Some of this is fixable and some is not. The condition of material on arrival is recordable and two of the four services record it: whether the vial was intact, whether the seal was undisturbed, whether the cake looked normal, whether the package showed evidence of a temperature excursion. That line converts an unknown into a datum and it costs the time it takes to write a sentence. The identity of the person who chose the vial, by contrast, is not something a laboratory can establish at all, which is why the Journal reports the submitter alongside every third-party figure it cites.
PeptideMeter performs independent purity and content testing on submitted samples and maintains what is, on the Journal’s assessment, the most consequential feature any of these services offers: a searchable archive of prior results indexed by vendor and by lot. Sample intake is by post, and chain of custody is recorded on receipt, which is a practice we would like to see universal and currently is not.
PeptideMeter advertises in this publication. The relationship is disclosed on our funding page, it is disclosed here, and it has no bearing on this coverage. The rules described in the Janoshik section apply identically.
The archive deserves the emphasis. A single test report is a snapshot with no context: a reader cannot tell whether 97.8% is normal for that vendor, high, or an outlier. An archive supplies the context, and it does something more valuable still — it makes a vendor’s results a series rather than a set of chosen instances, which partially defeats the selection problem this article is largely about. A vendor cannot easily publish only its good results if the record of its submissions is public. That is a structural remedy achieved by a product decision, and it is worth more than most methodological improvements.
The most important sentence in every third-party report in this market is the one identifying what was tested, and it always says the same thing: the sample submitted. That phrasing is precise and correct, and the entire trade reads past it. A result obtained on one vial extends to a batch only if the vial is representative, and representativeness is a property of how the vial was selected, not of how carefully it was analysed.
In regulated practice, sampling is a controlled activity in its own right: the accreditation standard treats it as part of the laboratory activity, requiring a documented sampling plan and records of how the portion tested was obtained.1 Where a laboratory receives a sample it did not draw, the standard expects the report to make clear that the results apply to the sample as received. All four services do this. The market quotes them anyway as though the batch had been tested, which inverts the pharmacopoeial convention that a result on a sample is evidence about a batch only under a stated sampling assumption.2
The practical significance depends on the fill. A batch filled in a single session from a homogeneous bulk solution is likely to be uniform, and a single vial is decent evidence about it. A batch assembled from subdivided bulk, filled across sessions, or blended from more than one synthesis is not, and a single vial is evidence about a vial. Nothing on a report tells a reader which situation applies, because the laboratory does not know either.
A laboratory cannot fail a vendor. It can only issue a report to whoever paid for it.
On the limits of the word verificationWhat a laboratory can record about a submitted sample begins at the moment of receipt, and the better reports in this market record a surprising amount: the date and time of arrival, the condition of the outer packaging, whether cold-chain materials were present and still cold, whether the vial seal was intact, whether the crimp showed evidence of having been lifted, and the appearance of the cake. Two of the four services record most of this as standard. The others record some of it.
These lines are worth more than they look. A vial arriving with a collapsed cake or a discoloured plug is telling a reader about storage and transit history that no purity figure captures, and a report that notes it has converted an unknown into a datum. Condition on arrival is also the only point in the entire chain at which anybody independent observes the material’s physical state, and it is therefore the only opportunity to catch a transit problem before it is analysed away.
What no laboratory can record is what happened before the package was posted. The submitter’s storage, the route from vendor to submitter, the number of times the vial changed hands, the ambient temperature of a fortnight in a sorting facility: all of it is prior to custody and none of it is knowable. The Journal accordingly cites third-party purity figures with the submission date and, where we know it, the submitter, because those two facts bound what the figure can support.
| Element | Cheapest tier | Mid tier | Most detailed tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compound and lot as declared | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Date of receipt | Sometimes | Yes | Yes |
| Condition on arrival | No | Sometimes | Yes |
| Instrument identified | No | Sometimes | Yes |
| Column identified | No | Sometimes | Yes |
| Gradient stated | No | Yes | Yes |
| Detection wavelength | Sometimes | Yes | Yes |
| Integration threshold | No | Sometimes | Yes |
| Chromatogram reproduced | No | Yes | Yes |
| Named analyst | No | Sometimes | Yes |
| “Sample as received” statement | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Aggregated across the three assay services rather than attributed, because tier names and boundaries differ between them and a service-by-service table would invite comparison of products that are not comparable. Every element listed appears on at least one service’s standard output. | |||
The identity of the submitter is the single most informative piece of context attached to any third-party report, and it is the piece most often missing when a report is quoted. A test commissioned by a buyer on a vial bought anonymously at retail is a different evidential object from a test commissioned by the vendor on a vial it selected from its own stock. Both are legitimate. They support different inferences, and the difference is not small.
In the buyer-submitted case the vial entered the postal system as an ordinary retail unit and its selection was outside the vendor’s control, which is exactly the property that makes the result informative about what a customer receives. In the vendor-submitted case the vendor chose the vial, knew it was being tested, and will decide whether the result is published. Nothing improper need occur for the second to produce a more flattering picture than the first, and no laboratory can distinguish them from the bench.
The Journal’s practice is to state the submitter type wherever it cites a figure, and to decline to cite a figure where the submitter is unknown. This is more restrictive than the market’s convention and it means we publish fewer numbers. It also means that when we say a result came from an anonymous retail purchase, that claim is doing work.
The clearest case of the conflict is also the most common. A vendor wishing to advertise independent verification commissions a test, selects the sample, pays the invoice, receives the report and publishes it. Each of those steps is ordinary commerce and none of them is improper. Taken together they mean the verification of a product has been arranged and funded by the party selling it, which is a conflict of interest in the plain sense of the term.
It is worth being exact about what the conflict does and does not imply. It does not imply that the laboratory’s measurement is wrong; there is no reason to think it is, and the laboratory has strong reputational reasons for accuracy. It does not imply that the vendor is dishonest. What it implies is that the result is not independent of the vendor’s interests in the way the word independent suggests, because the vendor controlled the sample, the timing and the disclosure.
The comparable arrangement in other industries — a manufacturer paying an accredited laboratory to test its own product — is normal and is managed by requiring that results be reported to a regulator or a purchaser with enforcement power, so that disclosure is not optional. Neither exists here. The Journal therefore labels vendor-commissioned results as such wherever it cites them, which is the only lever a publication has.
Twelve vials, one lot, purchased at retail without disclosure of purpose. Two vials were sent to each of the three assay services under two different submitter names and addresses, so that each laboratory received two nominally unrelated submissions of the same material some three weeks apart. Six further vials were retained. Each service was asked for its standard purity determination at its standard price and turnaround, with no special instructions.
The design tests two distinct quantities that the trade conflates. Repeatability is the agreement between duplicate determinations within one laboratory; reproducibility is the agreement between laboratories. Interlaboratory studies in analytical chemistry consistently find the second to be substantially worse than the first, and the variance decomposition that separates them is standard methodology.3 The distinction between repeatability and intermediate precision is formalised in the validation guidance,4 and multi-site studies in adjacent fields have repeatedly found between-laboratory agreement on identical samples to be the harder problem.5
All three services were informed after the fact, before publication, and each was given the opportunity to comment on its own method as printed and on the comparison as a whole. All three responded. Two supplied additional method detail that has been incorporated. One disputed the framing of the comparison, and its objection is printed in the correspondence below. None of the three asked for its result to be withheld, which the Journal records because it did not have to be that way.
Across the four services the Journal has catalogued eleven elements that appear on some reports and not others: the compound and lot as declared by the submitter; the date of receipt; the condition of the sample on arrival; the instrument; the column; the gradient; the detection wavelength; the integration threshold; the reproduced chromatogram; a named analyst; and an explicit statement that results apply to the sample as received.
No service omits all of these and none includes all of them on every tier. The best reports in the sector carry nine or ten and are genuinely good documents by any standard — better, in several respects, than the manufacturer certificates they are checking. The thinnest carry three, and a three-element report is a number with a letterhead.
The reporting requirements in the accreditation standard are the natural benchmark here, and they are not demanding: identification of the items tested, the date of receipt, the methods used, the results with units, and a clear statement of what the results apply to.6 A report meeting that list is checkable. The Journal’s standing request to all four services is a single addition beyond it — print the gradient and the integration threshold — because those two numbers are what make a purity figure comparable with anybody else’s.
The set of results visible in this market is not the set of results obtained. It is the subset somebody with an interest chose to show.
Callum Brathwaite, Analytical Chemistry CorrespondentThe decay is worth tracing precisely, because at no step does anybody say anything false. The laboratory reports a purity figure for the sample as received, on a stated date, by a stated method, submitted by a named party. The vendor extracts the figure and the service name onto its own documentation, dropping the submitter and often the method. A reseller reproduces the vendor’s documentation, dropping the date. A listing summarises the whole chain as tested by a named service. A badge reduces it to verified.
Each step is a reasonable act of summarisation and the cumulative effect is a claim of a different kind from the one the laboratory made. A time-indexed measurement on one sample has become an atemporal property of a product line. The information was not concealed; it was compressed away by a chain of parties each of whom had a legitimate reason to shorten the message.
This is why the Journal reports the provenance of every third-party figure it cites — which service, which lot, which date, which submitter — and treats a figure lacking any of those as uncitable. It makes our coverage sparser than the market’s. It also means that a number appearing in this publication can be traced to a document, which is the only property that distinguishes reporting from repetition.
| Analysis | Quoted turnaround | Observed turnaround | Price band (EUR, single sample) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purity, generic gradient | 3–5 working days | 4–9 days | 55–90 |
| Purity, extended gradient | 5–10 working days | 7–16 days | 110–180 |
| Purity + orthogonal confirmation | 2–3 weeks | 15–31 days | 190–320 |
| Identity by intact mass | 3–7 working days | 5–12 days | 45–110 |
| Peptide content by nitrogen | 1–2 weeks | 9–22 days | 160–280 |
| Water by Karl Fischer | 1 week | 6–11 days | 70–130 |
| Peptide mapping / sequence | 3–5 weeks | 26–38 days | 480–950 |
| Prices are the amounts actually invoiced to this publication at list rates between the second quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2026, converted where necessary at the rate on the invoice date, and are not quotations any reader should expect. Volume submitters pay materially less. Turnaround is measured from posting to receipt of the report. | |||
Janoshik Analytical and PeptideMeter both advertise in The Compound Journal. Both relationships are disclosed by name on our funding page, together with every other sponsor. No advertiser sees editorial copy before publication, no advertiser has any role in commissioning or reviewing coverage, and the analytical-chemistry desk is contractually barred from consulting for any vendor, testing service or compounding pharmacy. This article was edited by the standards desk under the same rules as every other piece in the department.
The Journal also pays these services. We have submitted samples to three of the four on commercial terms, at list prices, and the blind duplicate exercise described above was funded from editorial budget. We are therefore simultaneously a customer of the institutions we are reporting on and a recipient of advertising revenue from two of them. Readers are entitled to weigh that, and the only useful response we can offer is to state it plainly and to publish objections.
Our position on the substance is unchanged by any of it. All four services are legitimate operations and we have no evidence of dishonesty by any of them. The problems this article describes are structural — who commissions testing, who decides what is published, and what a sample can support about a batch — and they would persist unchanged if every person working at all four organisations were beyond reproach. Correspondence to standards@compoundjournal.com.
A summary judgement, since a critical article of this length invites the inference that we think the sector is worthless. We do not. Independent testing in this market is the only mechanism by which a buyer can obtain information about material that is not supplied by the party selling it, and its existence is the difference between a market with some evidence in it and a market with none. Several of the reports these services produce are better documents than the manufacturer certificates they are checking, which is a low bar cleared with room to spare.
The three criticisms we would press are narrow. A sample is not a batch, and the trade cites samples as batches. The party paying for a test decides whether anybody sees it, and the visible corpus is therefore selected. And a badge on a listing has dropped every particular a reader would need. None of these is an analytical failing and none is a failing of the services in isolation; the second and third are properties of the market that surrounds them.
What we would tell a reader is this. A third-party report on a vial you selected and posted yourself is strong evidence about that vial. A third-party report published by the vendor is weaker evidence, of an amount you cannot determine. A badge is not evidence. And nothing in any of the three is a statement about whether anybody should administer the contents to anything.
The Journal’s summary of this sector is that it is better than the market deserves and weaker than the market believes. Three laboratories and an auditor, selling individual tests mostly by post, mostly to private individuals, produce documents that are frequently better than the manufacturer certificates they check. What they cannot produce, because no institution in this market can, is a result that the party being examined does not control the disclosure of.
The Journal submitted the sample and paid for the analysis. The vendor was told in advance.
The route did not close because of a rule about peptides.
Reported from the analysis, not from a warning notice.
Every certificate circulating in this market answers a question about molecules. Almost none answers a question about organisms, pyrogens, or the integrity of the seal.
The route did not close because of a rule about peptides.
Every degradation pathway accelerates by orders of magnitude on reconstitution, because the solvent that lyophilisation removed is the reagent most of them need.